Brendan MairAI, product & problem solving

Project · R

Congress and Voter Behavior

A study in R of how social pressure affects voting behaviour, measured against a control group.

  1. Congress and Voter Behavior · R

    Does social pressure get people to vote, and by how much?

    Problem
    Turnout campaigns use social pressure, but how much it changes behaviour is rarely measured against a control group.
    My role
    Analyst: research question, statistical analysis in R, presentation.
    What I did
    Compared turnout across treatment groups and a control, estimating each effect with a confidence interval.
    Outcome
    Largest effect: [group], +[n] pts turnout — owner to confirm
    congress-voting/ analysis.RR output

    lm(turnout ~ treatment) # effect vs control

    Group 1+[n]
    Group 2+[n]
    Group 3+[n]
    Group 4+[n]
    Fig. 1 — Illustrative shape only. Groups and estimates come from the analysis: owner to confirm.

The question

Does social pressure change whether people vote, and how large is the effect compared with a control group?

My approach

I used R to compare turnout across the treatment groups and the control, estimating each effect with a confidence interval.

What I found

Largest effect: [group], +[n] pts turnout — owner to confirm

Status

Complete. The write-up is a presentation that walks through the data and the result, linked below.

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